NY-23 before and after the 2020 Census

NY-23 after redistricting

Note, all numbers (except percentages) are in thousands.

After the 2020 census, NY-23 shifted west, losing Tompkins and Tioga Counties and adding Erie County suburbs.

YearDemRepConWFRep&ConDem&WF
202113316182169135
2022160195153210163
Change+27+34+7+1+41+28
Registration Republican advantage 202028 (12.1%)+34 (12.5%)
Registration Republican advantage 202235 (12,2%)+47 (12.9%)
Active Voters — NYS Board of Elections Data

The 2022 district is more populous than the 2020 district, and the Republican advantage in registration is greater.

ElectionTotal VotesRep.Dem.
Special Election (All voters)733934
Republican Primary Election4747none
Difference+12%
Election Results

Voters registered in the 2020 district voted in the special election; voters registered in the 2022 district voted in the primary election. The additional voters in the primary election district appears to explain the 12% difference between the Republican Vote in the two Aug. 24, 2022 elections.

The result of the special election apparently reflects the Republican advantage in registration. The Republican candidate, Sempolinski, won 39 to 34: 11.5%.

An overwhelming vote in Tompkins County for the Democratic candidate, Max Della Pia, shows how much Republicans have alienated Tompkins County voters.

I see no sign of a red wave or blue wave in NY-23: except possibly in Tompkins County, voters didn’t seem motivated by the abortion issue.

About whungerford

* Contributor at NewNY23rd.com where we discuss the politics, economics, and events of the New New York 23rd Congressional District (Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Chemung, (Eastern) Ontario, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben,Tioga, Tompkins, and Yates Counties) Please visit and comment on whatever strikes your fancy.
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