U.S. Political Forecast blog

Ray Copson, who democrat_republicanhas authored many articles for the NewNY23rd, has created a different blog, “U.S. Political Forecast” that looks at the 2016 Presidential Race. Using a political forecast system created by William Coplin and Michael O’Leary of the Maxwell School at Syracuse University in the 1970’s, Ray has developed, and ranked three possible outcomes (scenarios) of the Presidential race and its affect on U.S. Government eighteen months from the election, and five years from the election.

Without going into much detail, the Eighteen Month Political Forecast:

Scenario 1Continued near gridlock. 50%

Scenario 2Jolt to the Right. 40%

Scenario 3Political turmoil, uncertain outcome. 10%

The Five Year Political Forecast:

Scenario 1Leftward Shift. 45%

Scenario 2Conservative entrancement. 45%

Scenario 3Domestic and international turmoil. 10%

These forecasts can change as the campaigns events evolve. Ray blogs articles that describes these events. The latest article analyses a recent Clinton vs Trump national poll and the possibility of flipping the House from Red to Blue.

U.S. Political Forecasts blog looks into the 2016 election deeper than most other blogs. If you want more than the day-by-day political events I would suggest you to visit this blog. Ray encourages reader’s opinions and ideas on the articles and the forecasts.



About pystew

Retired Teacher, political science geek, village trustee. I lean a little left, but like a good political discussion. My blog, the New NY 23rd (http://newny23rd) is about discussing the issues facing the people of our new congressional district. Let's hear all sides of the issues, not just what the candidates want us to hear.
This entry was posted in 2016, Congress, Political, President and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to U.S. Political Forecast blog

  1. whungerford says:

    Ray’s latest article is discouraging. I know there is a possibility of support for Trump among Democrats and Republicans, but in the end I can’t believe that the voters would prefer him to Hillary Clinton. Even Charles Koch understands that Trump is ignorant, inexperienced, and dangerous.


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