Mark Shields on Presidential nominations

nominationsWill GOP voters, with no clear favorite and no designated successor, choose with their hearts or their heads? Will Democrats be able to settle and fall in love with the overwhelming front-runner?–Mark Shields

Mark Shields, in a column in the local Gannett papers today, argues that Republicans often take turns running for President.  The runner-up in the last election is likely to be the nominee in the next.  Shields writes:

Reagan, who was runner-up to Gerald Ford in 1976, became the 1980 nominee; George H.W. Bush, runner-up to Reagan in 1980, was nominated in 1988; Dole, runner-up to Bush in ’88, won the next open nomination, in ’96. Plausible nominee-in-waiting George W. Bush in 2000 made it “his turn.” And McCain, who finished second in 2000, went on to win the nomination in 2008, when Romney, the eventual 2012 standard-bearer, finished second to the senator from Arizona.

But this time, as there is no clear Republican favorite, a second rule may take precedence– nominate someone named Bush; it worked twice.

Shields goes on to observe that Democrats often reject the front-runner for a beloved, lesser-known favorite. This should bode well for Elizabeth Warren, but maybe not for the chance that a Democrat will prevail.

© William Hungerford – December 2014

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About whungerford

* Contributor at NewNY23rd.com where we discuss the politics, economics, and events of the New New York 23rd Congressional District (Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Chemung, (Eastern) Ontario, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben,Tioga, Tompkins, and Yates Counties) Please visit and comment on whatever strikes your fancy.
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7 Responses to Mark Shields on Presidential nominations

  1. Deb Meeker says:

    I’ve read that some are calling Senator Elizabeth Warren, the “Ted Cruz of the Liberals”. After two years of sure-to-be up coming attempts by Republican/Conservatives to dismantle the government, will Americans be ready for a 180 in policy?
    I hope Sen. Warren stays in the Senate. She could probably have a whole lot more effectiveness there.

    Like

  2. pystew says:

    MSNBC has reported that a group of 500 wealthy donors have met and talked about picking one GOP candidate they can all support and not have the primary fiasco they had in 2012. They are focusing now on Bush, Romney and Christie. Can everyone say “Oligarchy”?

    http://www.msnbc.com/up/watch/can-republicans-find-a-clear-winner-for-2016–372205635741

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  3. whungerford says:

    Republicans had hoped for a short primary campaign, but they may not get their wish–too many loose cannons.

    If rich donors do select one candidate, would the rest drop out? That doesn’t seem likely.

    Like

  4. josephurban says:

    Factoid concerning the deep connections of the Bush family to the GOP. CIA director George WH Bush was on the GOP ticket in 1980,1984, 1988, 1992. Former Texas Ranger owner GW Bush was on the GOP ticket in 2000, 2004. From 1980 to 2004 a member of the Bush family was on the national ticket every year except 1996. Now that is an open political party. A party of diversity. Next up. Jeb.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. solodm says:

    “Ironically, [Jeb] Bush defended the measures in a 2006 interview with Matt Lauer on the “Today” show, ….. Since the [torture] report’s publication on Tuesday, Bush hasn’t yet addressed the conclusions.”
    http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/cia-torture-report-complicates-prospect-jeb-bush-article-1.2040434

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