Before the 2014 Senate elections we were warned that the Democrats would have a difficult time keeping a majority in the Senate. The Democrats had 21 seats to defend; the Republicans had 14. These senators were last elected in 2008 and democrats rode the Obama election shirt-tales. It is commonly known that Democrats have large voter turnout during Presidential elections, and 2008 was no exception. In 2014 those candidates were facing a smaller, less enthusiastic group of democratic voters. The rest is history. The republicans will hold 54 seats in Congress.
In 2016, it looks like a different story. It will be a Presidential election year. That should draw out a large number of voters for both candidates. The possible scenarios for possible presidential candidates and/or influential issues are too numerous to seriously consider at this stage.
New York’s Senator Chuck Schumer’s seat (along with 9 other Democrats) will be up for election. I dare to say that he is more respected, and more popular upstate that Governor Cuomo was in the last election. Unless SCOPE and the NRA can somehow stick a SAFE Act sticker on him, upstate democrats should be willing to put a Schumer sign in their yard. That should help all down-ballot democratic candidates in their quest to be elected.
There will be 34 Senate races in 2016. The Democrats have to defend 10 of them; the Republicans 24. The Democrats will need to win 15 seats to regain control of the Senate. (There are two Independent Senators, Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Angus King (I-ME) who caucuses with the democrats).
Below is a list of the Senators whose seats will be up election in 2016.
SENATORS UP FOR RE-ELECTION IN 2016
Michael Bennet (CO), Richard Blumenthal (CT), Barbara Boxer (CA), Patrick Leahy (VT), Barbara Mikulski (MD), Patty Murray (WA), Harry Reid (NV), Brian Schatz (HI), Charles Schumer (NY), and Ron Wyden (OR)
Kelly Ayotte (NH), Roy Blunt (MO), John Boozman (AR), Richard Burr (NC), Dan Coats (IN), Mike Crapo (ID), Chuck Grassley (IA), John Hoeven (ND), Johnny Isakson (GA), Ron Johnson (WI), Mark Kirk (IL), James Lankford (OK), Mike Lee (UT) John McCain (AZ), Jerry Moran (KS) Lisa Murkowski (AK), Rand Paul (KY) Rob Portman (OH), Marco Rubio (FL) Tim Scott (SC), Richard Shelby (AL) John Thune (SD), Pat Toomey (PA), and David Vitter (LA)