It is easy for a Representative to introduce a bill, but the chance of a bill becoming law is generally very small.
By claiming credit for bills introduced, our representatives seek to mislead us. The percentages in the table below are GovTrack’s estimate of the chance the bill will become law.
- H.R. 5393: To amend title XVIII of the Social Security Act to provide for required …1%
- H.R. 5292: Disabled Public Safety Officers Fairness Act of 2014 2%
- H.R. 5199: Municipal Bond Market Support Act of 2014 1%
- H.R. 5082: National Disaster Tax Relief Act of 2014 3%
- H.R. 4933: Motorsports Fairness and Permanency Act 3%
- H.R. 4857: Ensuring Equal Access to Treatments Act of 2014 2%
- H.R. 4719: America Gives More Act of 2014 (passed house) 28%
Table I: Tom Reed’s latest bills introduced in the House
Adding up the estimates for these seven bills including H.R. 4719, which has already passed the House, one finds only a 40% chance that even one of these bills will become law. Given that the House plans to work only 40 more days this year, even this estimate seems optimistic. Yet Tom shamelessly claims credit for introducing these bills as if they had already succeeded. Don’t be misled by that.
© William Hungerford – August 2014