On Tuesday, incumbent Republican Richard Hanna will face a tea party challenge in NY-22. Hanna was expected to win easily, but Cantor’s loss in VA has emboldened the tea party element among Republicans enough that they hope for victory. If the turn-out is small, and the right turns out in force, the far-right candidate Claudia Tenney, might win. Here is an excerpt from an article in the Poughkeepsie Journal:
For Hanna in the 22nd Congressional District covering parts of the Southern Tier and Mohawk Valley, the primary is a test for a Main Street Republican incumbent who is being challenged in a Republican primary by one of the most conservative members of the state Assembly.
Assemblywoman Claudia Tenney of New Hartford has been endorsed by local and national tea party groups and conservative pundits Sean Hannity, Monica Crowley and Michelle Malkin.
Hanna has the backing of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, other business trade organizations, the National Rifle Association and county Republican Party committees.
Elmira College political scientist Jim Twombly describes the Hanna-Tenney race as “one of those classic battles for the soul of the Republican Party.”
If Hanna wins, he will be the sole candidate other than possible independents. He should win the general election. If Tenney wins, Hanna will still be on the ballot on the Independence Party line. He might win in the general election with support from Democrats who have not nominated a candidate. If Tenney is the GOP candidate, she might also run on the Conservative line with a Wilson-Pakula (she failed to file the necessary petitions to be the Conservative candidate). If Tenney is the GOP candidate, the Republicans will be divided–it will be a shame if there is no Democrat in the race. It is possible that a Democrat will run as an independent or possibly on the Working Families Party line.
© William Hungerford – June 2014